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Seven-Compartment Markov Decision Process Model for Control of Epidemic Infections
  • Ali Nasir,
  • Huma Baig,
  • Muhammad Rafiq
Ali Nasir
University of Central Punjab
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Huma Baig
University of Central Punjab
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Muhammad Rafiq
University of Central Punjab
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Abstract

This paper proposes a seven-compartment Markov decision process model for control of epidemic infections. Decision variables include vaccination, treatment, and quarantine. Cost function includes cost of treatment, cost of quarantine, and cost of vaccination. Transition probabilities have been represented by Bayesian network. Scalability of the proposed model has been discussed. Extensions of the proposed approach has also been included as well as comparison with the existing models. Superiority of the proposed approach has been elaborated through a case study.