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Progression from Pneumonia to ARDS as a Predictor for Fatal COVID-19
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  • Chen-Yang Hsu,
  • Chao-Chih Lai,
  • Yen-Po Yeh,
  • Chang-Chuan Chan,
  • Hsiu-Hsi Chen
Chen-Yang Hsu
National Taiwan University
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Chao-Chih Lai
Taipei City Hospital Jen-ai Branch
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Yen-Po Yeh
National Taiwan University
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Chang-Chuan Chan
National Taiwan University
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Hsiu-Hsi Chen
National Taiwan University
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Abstract

There is a serious concern over the variation of case fatality that reflects the preparedness of the medical care system in response to the surge of pneumonia patients. The variation of fatal COVID-19 was in parallel with the heterogeneity of progression from pneumonia to ARDS, ranging from 3.4% to 63% based on data from 12 countries, accounting for 95% positive association between this key indicator and case fatality rate of COVID-19. Predicting fatal COVID-19 with the progression from pneumonia to ARDS is conducive to the preparedness of medical care facilities for the optimal management of a spectrum of COVID-19 patients.