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Assessment of Regional Vulnerability to Africa Swine Fever in China Based on a DEA Model
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  • Juan Li,
  • Lu Gao,
  • Baoxu Huang,
  • Youming Wang,
  • Zhen Jin,
  • xiangdong Sun,
  • Ping Liu,
  • Quangang Xu,
  • Huaiping Zhu
Juan Li
China Animal Health and Epidemiology Center
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Lu Gao
China Animal Health and Epidemiology Center
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Baoxu Huang
China Animal Health and Epidemiology Centre
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Youming Wang
China Animal Health and Epidemiology Center
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Zhen Jin
Shanxi University
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xiangdong Sun
China Animal Health and Epidemiology Center
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Quangang Xu
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Huaiping Zhu
York university, Canada
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Abstract

In this study, we introduce the vulnerability index to measure the regional ASF epidemic and present the ASF severity ratings of 31 provincial regions of China. The index is defined based on the data from investigation, national statistical yearbook and reports. The data to be used includes pig breeding, financial resources, human resources, epidemic information of ASF and price fluctuation from the 31 regions. Then we use the data envelopment analysis (DEA) model to define the vulnerability index, the relative severity values for each region which quantitatively reflect the damage degree caused by the epidemic of ASF. The method allows us to provide a systematic classification for regional vulnerability level of ASF in China. Using the index, we find that the vulnerability of the whole country is at a high level, and there is no regional aggregation phenomenon. The vulnerability level of the 31 provinces are quite different and the provinces with high vulnerability level are dispersive geographically. For the five major prevention and control zones for ASF in China, the northern region has the highest vulnerability level, while the level of eastern zoon is the lowest.

Peer review status:ACCEPTED

07 Jun 2020Submitted to Transboundary and Emerging Diseases
10 Jun 2020Submission Checks Completed
10 Jun 2020Assigned to Editor
19 Jun 2020Reviewer(s) Assigned
31 Jul 2020Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
31 Jul 2020Editorial Decision: Revise Major
27 Oct 20201st Revision Received
29 Oct 2020Submission Checks Completed
29 Oct 2020Assigned to Editor
31 Oct 2020Reviewer(s) Assigned
04 Nov 2020Review(s) Completed, Editorial Evaluation Pending
04 Nov 2020Editorial Decision: Accept