- How many alternative methods do you think forecasts should be compared against to demonstrate sufficient credibility?*
e.g. How many alternative climate models would you like to observe reproducing the same results as your own climate model to have confidence that your forecast of climate change was realistic?
(Choose as many as you like)
- 0 (no comparison necessary)
- 1 to 4
- 5 to 9
- 10+
- No fixed number (dependant on method being trialled)
- How regularly do forecast results need to be compared against results obtained using alternative approaches to provide you with confidence that the prediction method used is still the most appropriate for the task?*
e.g. If a population growth forecast based on current migration flows is generated every year, providing a 10 year prediction of a nations’ changing demographics, how often do you think this annual forecast needs to be compared to growth projections based on future labour force estimates (or any other new approaches) to give you confidence that the migration flow approach is still the most appropriate method?