1. How important is it to you that simulations are able to identify the impact of changes beyond the main field of interest for the forecast?*
e.g. If an energy forecast predicts that crude oil and natural gas sources will become scarcer in the future, leading to a rise in supply costs, and that this will have a direct impact on the economies of nations heavily dependent on oil and gas exports, does the identification of these ‘knock-on effects’ increase the usefulness for you of the original energy forecast?