1. The 'Butterfly Effect' describes the ability of tiny variations in environmental conditions to drastically change the outcome of large-scale events. Do you think that forecasts which include these local variations would provide a more valuable explanation of real-life chaotic behaviours?*
e.g. Do you think that if a weather forecast was detailed enough to distinguish between very subtle environmental variations it would be able to accurately identify the causes of extreme weather events (that may otherwise have been undetected), or would this only introduce additional uncertainty?