References
Altieri, M.A., Nicholls, C.I., Henao, A. & Lana, M.A. (2015). Agroecology and the design of climate change-resilient farming systems. Agronomy for Sustainable Development , 35, 869-890.
Barton, K. (2016). MuMIn: Multi-Model Inference. R package
Bell, V.A., Rudd, A.C., Kay, A.L. & Davies, H.N. (2018). Grid-to-Grid model estimates of monthly mean flow and soil moisture for Great Britain (1960 to 2015): observed driving data [MaRIUS-G2G-MORECS-monthly]. NERC Environmental Information Data Centre.
Béné, C., Headey, D., Haddad, L. & von Grebmer, K. (2016). Is resilience a useful concept in the context of food security and nutrition programmes? Some conceptual and practical considerations. Food Security , 8, 123-138.
Bengtsson, J., Bullock, J.M., Egoh, B., Everson, C., Everson, T., O’Connor, T. et al. (2019). Grasslands—more important for ecosystem services than you might think.Ecosphere , 10, e02582.
Benton, T.G. & Bailey, R. (2019). The paradox of productivity: agricultural productivity promotes food system inefficiency. Global Sustainability , 2, e6.
Bianchi, F.J., Booij, C. & Tscharntke, T. (2006). Sustainable pest regulation in agricultural landscapes: a review on landscape composition, biodiversity and natural pest control. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences , 273, 1715-1727.
Biavetti, I., Karetsos, S., Ceglar, A., Toreti, A. & Panagos, P. (2014). European meteorological data: contribution to research, development, and policy support . SPIE.
Blitzer, E.J., Dormann, C.F., Holzschuh, A., Klein, A.-M., Rand, T.A. & Tscharntke, T. (2012). Spillover of functionally important organisms between managed and natural habitats. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment , 146, 34-43.
Bommarco, R., Kleijn, D. & Potts, S.G. (2013). Ecological intensification: harnessing ecosystem services for food security. Trends in Ecology & Evolution , 28, 230-238.
Bullock, J.M., Dhanjal‐Adams, K.L., Milne, A., Oliver, T.H., Todman, L.C., Whitmore, A.P. et al.(2017). Resilience and food security: rethinking an ecological concept.Journal of Ecology , 105, 880-884.
Bunce, R.G.H., Barr, C.J., Clarke, R.T., Howard, D.C. & Scott, W.A. (2007). ITE land classification of Great Britain 2007. NERC Environmental Information Data Centre. .
Butler, S.J., Vickery, J.A. & Norris, K. (2007). Farmland Biodiversity and the Footprint of Agriculture. Science , 315, 381-384.
Carnus, T., Finn, J.A., Kirwan, L. & Connolly, J. (2014). Assessing the relationship between biodiversity and stability of ecosystem function–is the coefficient of variation always the best metric? Ideas in Ecology and Evolution , 7.
Carpenter, S., Walker, B., Anderies, J.M. & Abel, N. (2001). From Metaphor to Measurement: Resilience of What to What? Ecosystems , 4, 765-781.
Cassman, K.G. (1999). Ecological intensification of cereal production systems: yield potential, soil quality, and precision agriculture. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences , 96, 5952-5959.
Chambers, J.D. & Mingay, G.E. (1966). The Agricultural Revolution 1750-1880 . BT Batsford Ltd, London.
Chaplin-Kramer, R., O’Rourke, M.E., Blitzer, E.J. & Kremen, C. (2011). A meta-analysis of crop pest and natural enemy response to landscape complexity. Ecology Letters , 14, 922-932.
Critchley, C., Burke, M. & Stevens, D. (2004). Conservation of lowland semi-natural grasslands in the UK: a review of botanical monitoring results from agri-environment schemes.Biological Conservation , 115, 263-278.
Curtis, T. & Halford, N.G. (2014). Food security: the challenge of increasing wheat yield and the importance of not compromising food safety. Ann Appl Biol , 164, 354-372.
Dainese, M., Martin, E.A., Aizen, M., Albrecht, M., Bartomeus, I., Bommarco, R. et al. (2019). A global synthesis reveals biodiversity-mediated benefits for crop production.bioRxiv , 554170.
Defra (2011). Biodiversity 2020: A Strategy for England’s Wildlife and Ecosystem Services. Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, London.
Defra (2012). Farming Statistics Final Crop Areas, Yields, Livestock Populations and Agricultural Workforce at 1 June 2012, United Kingdom. National Statistics London.
Defra (2018a). A Green Future: Our 25 Year Plan to Improve the Environment. London.
Defra (2018b). Health and Harmony: the future for food, farming and the environment in a Green Brexit. www.gov.uk/government/publications.
Defra (2018c). June survey of agriculture and horticulture in England - methodology. Available at: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/182206/defra-stats-foodfarm-landuselivestock-june-junemethodology-20120126.pdf Last accessed 13th September 2018 2018.
Di Falco, S. & Chavas, J.-P. (2008). Rainfall shocks, resilience, and the effects of crop biodiversity on agroecosystem productivity. Land Economics , 84, 83-96.
Donohue, I., Hillebrand, H., Montoya, J.M., Petchey, O.L., Pimm, S.L., Fowler, M.S. et al. (2016). Navigating the complexity of ecological stability. Ecology Letters , 19, 1172-1185.
Duelli, P., Studer, M., Marchand, I. & Jakob, S. (1990). Population movements of arthropods between natural and cultivated areas. Biological Conservation , 54, 193-207.
Duflot, R., Aviron, S., Ernoult, A., Fahrig, L. & Burel, F. (2015). Reconsidering the role of ‘semi‐natural habitat’in agricultural landscape biodiversity: a case study.Ecological Research , 30, 75-83.
Ekroos, J., Ödman, A.M., Andersson, G.K.S., Birkhofer, K., Herbertsson, L., Klatt, B.K. et al.(2016). Sparing Land for Biodiversity at Multiple Spatial Scales.Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution , 3.
Finch, T., Gillings, S., Green, R.E., Massimino, D., Peach, W.J. & Balmford, A. (2019). Bird conservation and the land sharing-sparing continuum in farmland-dominated landscapes of lowland England. Conservation Biology , 0.
Fischer, J., Lindenmayer, D.B. & Manning, A.D. (2006). Biodiversity, ecosystem function, and resilience: ten guiding principles for commodity production landscapes.Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment , 4, 80-86.
Gagic, V., Kleijn, D., Báldi, A., Boros, G., Jørgensen, H.B., Elek, Z. et al. (2017). Combined effects of agrochemicals and ecosystem services on crop yield across Europe. Ecology Letters , 20, 1427-1436.
Garnett, T., Appleby, M., Balmford, A., Bateman, I., Benton, T., Bloomer, P. et al. (2013). Sustainable intensification in agriculture: premises and policies.Science , 341, 33-34.
Gaudin, A.C.M., Tolhurst, T.N., Ker, A.P., Janovicek, K., Tortora, C., Martin, R.C. et al. (2015). Increasing Crop Diversity Mitigates Weather Variations and Improves Yield Stability. PLOS ONE , 10, e0113261.
GFS (2015). Extreme weather and resilience of the global food system. In: Final Project Report from the UK-US Taskforce on Extreme Weather and Global Food System Resilience The Global Food Security programme, UK.
Godfray, H.C.J., Beddington, J.R., Crute, I.R., Haddad, L., Lawrence, D., Muir, J.F. et al. (2010). Food Security: The Challenge of Feeding 9 Billion People.Science , 327, 812-818.
Green, R.E., Cornell, S.J., Scharlemann, J.P.W. & Balmford, A. (2005). Farming and the Fate of Wild Nature. Science , 307, 550-555.
Grueber, C., Nakagawa, S., Laws, R. & Jamieson, I. (2011). Multimodel inference in ecology and evolution: challenges and solutions. Journal of evolutionary biology , 24, 699-711.
Haan, N.L., Zhang, Y. & Landis, D.A. (2019). Predicting Landscape Configuration Effects on Agricultural Pest Suppression. Trends in Ecology & Evolution .
Harrison, X.A., Donaldson, L., Correa-Cano, M.E., Evans, J., Fisher, D.N., Goodwin, C.E. et al.(2018). A brief introduction to mixed effects modelling and multi-model inference in ecology. PeerJ , 6, e4794.
Hautier, Y., Tilman, D., Isbell, F., Seabloom, E.W., Borer, E.T. & Reich, P.B. (2015). Anthropogenic environmental changes affect ecosystem stability via biodiversity.Science , 348, 336-340.
Hillocks, R.J. (2012). Farming with fewer pesticides: EU pesticide review and resulting challenges for UK agriculture. Crop Protection , 31, 85-93.
Holland, J.M., Bianchi, F.J., Entling, M.H., Moonen, A.-C., Smith, B.M. & Jeanneret, P. (2016). Structure, function and management of semi-natural habitats for conservation biological control: a review of European studies.Pest Management Science , 72, 1638-1651.
Holland, J.M., Douma, J.C., Crowley, L., James, L., Kor, L., Stevenson, D.R.W. et al. (2017). Semi-natural habitats support biological control, pollination and soil conservation in Europe. A review. Agronomy for Sustainable Development , 37, 31.
Holling, C.S. (1973). Resilience and stability of ecological systems. Annual review of ecology and systematics , 4, 1-23.
Iizumi, T. & Ramankutty, N. (2016). Changes in yield variability of major crops for 1981–2010 explained by climate change. Environmental Research Letters , 11, 034003.
Impey, L. (2012). Experts debate the causes of the lower wheat yields in 2012. In: Farmers Weekly .
Ingrisch, J. & Bahn, M. (2018). Towards a Comparable Quantification of Resilience. Trends in Ecology & Evolution , 33, 251-259.
Isbell, F., Craven, D., Connolly, J., Loreau, M., Schmid, B., Beierkuhnlein, C. et al. (2015). Biodiversity increases the resistance of ecosystem productivity to climate extremes. Nature , 526, 574.
Kamp, J., Urazaliev, R., Balmford, A., Donald, P.F., Green, R.E., Lamb, A.J. et al. (2015). Agricultural development and the conservation of avian biodiversity on the Eurasian steppes: a comparison of land-sparing and land-sharing approaches. Journal of Applied Ecology , 52, 1578-1587.
Karp, D.S., Chaplin-Kramer, R., Meehan, T.D., Martin, E.A., DeClerck, F., Grab, H. et al. (2018). Crop pests and predators exhibit inconsistent responses to surrounding landscape composition. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences , 115, E7863-E7870.
Kéfi, S., Domínguez-García, V., Donohue, I., Fontaine, C., Thébault, E. & Dakos, V. (2019). Advancing our understanding of ecological stability. Ecology Letters , 22, 1349-1356.
Kleijn, D., Bommarco, R., Fijen, T.P.M., Garibaldi, L.A., Potts, S.G. & van der Putten, W.H. (2019). Ecological Intensification: Bridging the Gap between Science and Practice. Trends in Ecology & Evolution , 34, 154-166.
Klein, R.J., Nicholls, R.J. & Thomalla, F. (2003). Resilience to natural hazards: How useful is this concept? Global Environmental Change Part B: Environmental Hazards , 5, 35-45.
Kremen, C. & Chaplin-Kramer, R. (2007). Insects as providers of ecosystem services: crop pollination and pest control. In: Insect conservation biology: proceedings of the royal entomological society’s 23rd symposium . CABI Publishing, pp. 349-382.
Lamb, A., Finch, T., Pearce-Higgins, J.W., Ausden, M., Balmford, A., Feniuk, C. et al. (2019). The consequences of land sparing for birds in the United Kingdom.Journal of Applied Ecology , 0.
Lynch, J., Fealy, R., Doyle, D., Black, L. & Spink, J. (2017). Assessment of water-limited winter wheat yield potential at spatially contrasting sites in Ireland using a simple growth and development model. Irish journal of agricultural and food research , 56, 65-76.
Martin, E.A., Dainese, M., Clough, Y., Báldi, A., Bommarco, R., Gagic, V. et al. (2019). The interplay of landscape composition and configuration: new pathways to manage functional biodiversity and agroecosystem services across Europe.Ecology Letters , 22, 1083-1094.
Martin, E.A., Reineking, B., Seo, B. & Steffan-Dewenter, I. (2013). Natural enemy interactions constrain pest control in complex agricultural landscapes. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences , 110, 5534-5539.
Martin, E.A., Seo, B., Park, C.R., Reineking, B. & Steffan‐Dewenter, I. (2016). Scale‐dependent effects of landscape composition and configuration on natural enemy diversity, crop herbivory, and yields. Ecological applications , 26, 448-462.
Met Office (2013). 2012 weather summaries: Annual. Available at: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/2012/annual Last accessed 25th September 2018 2018.
Mitchell, M.G.E., Bennett, E.M. & Gonzalez, A. (2014). Agricultural landscape structure affects arthropod diversity and arthropod-derived ecosystem services. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment , 192, 144-151.
Mitchell, M.G.E., Suarez-Castro, A.F., Martinez-Harms, M., Maron, M., McAlpine, C., Gaston, K.J. et al. (2015). Reframing landscape fragmentation’s effects on ecosystem services. Trends in Ecology & Evolution , 30, 190-198.
Mitchell, P.L. & Sheehy, J.E. (2018). Potential yield of wheat in the United Kingdom: How to reach 20 t ha−1. Field Crops Research , 224, 115-125.
Myers-Smith, I.H., Trefry, S.A. & Swarbrick, V.J. (2012). Resilience: Easy to use but hard to define.Ideas in Ecology and Evolution , 5.
Natural England (2012). Agricultural Land Classification: protecting the best and most versatile agricultural land. Natural England.
Naylor, R. & Ehrlich, P.R. (1997). Natural pest control services and agriculture. Nature’s Services: societal dependence on natural ecosystems , 151-174.
Olgun, M., Metin Kumlay, A., Cemal Adiguzel, M. & Caglar, A. (2008). The effect of waterlogging in wheat (T. aestivum L.). Acta Agriculturae Scandinavica, Section B — Soil & Plant Science , 58, 193-198.
Oliver, T.H., Heard, M.S., Isaac, N.J., Roy, D.B., Procter, D., Eigenbrod, F. et al. (2015). Biodiversity and resilience of ecosystem functions. Trends in ecology & evolution , 30, 673-684.
Piepho, H.-P. (1998). Methods for Comparing the Yield Stability of Cropping Systems. Journal of Agronomy and Crop Science , 180, 193-213.
Pinheiro, J., Bates, D., DebRoy, S., Sarkar, D. & R Core Team (2017). nlme: linear and nonlinear mixed effects models. .
Plantegenest, M., Le May, C. & Fabre, F. (2007). Landscape epidemiology of plant diseases.Journal of the Royal Society Interface , 4, 963-972.
Potts, S.G., Imperatriz-Fonseca, V., Ngo, H.T., Aizen, M.A., Biesmeijer, J.C., Breeze, T.D. et al.(2016). Safeguarding pollinators and their values to human well-being.Nature , 540, 220-229.
Pywell, R.F., Heard, M.S., Woodcock, B.A., Hinsley, S., Ridding, L., Nowakowski, M. et al. (2015). Wildlife-friendly farming increases crop yield: evidence for ecological intensification. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences , 282, 20151740.
R Core Team (2017). R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing Vienna, Austria.
Rand, T.A., Tylianakis, J.M. & Tscharntke, T. (2006). Spillover edge effects: the dispersal of agriculturally subsidized insect natural enemies into adjacent natural habitats. Ecology letters , 9, 603-614.
Ray, D.K., Gerber, J.S., MacDonald, G.K. & West, P.C. (2015). Climate variation explains a third of global crop yield variability. Nature Communications , 6, 5989.
Ray, D.K., Ramankutty, N., Mueller, N.D., West, P.C. & Foley, J.A. (2012). Recent patterns of crop yield growth and stagnation. Nature Communications , 3, 1293.
Reidsma, P., Tekelenburg, T., Van den Berg, M. & Alkemade, R. (2006). Impacts of land-use change on biodiversity: an assessment of agricultural biodiversity in the European Union. Agriculture, ecosystems & environment , 114, 86-102.
Ricketts, T.H., Regetz, J., Steffan‐Dewenter, I., Cunningham, S.A., Kremen, C., Bogdanski, A.et al. (2008). Landscape effects on crop pollination services: are there general patterns? Ecology letters , 11, 499-515.
Riitters, K.H., O’neill, R., Hunsaker, C., Wickham, J.D., Yankee, D., Timmins, S. et al.(1995). A factor analysis of landscape pattern and structure metrics.Landscape ecology , 10, 23-39.
Rosenzweig, C., Iglesias, A., Yang, X., Epstein, P.R. & Chivian, E. (2001). Climate change and extreme weather events; implications for food production, plant diseases, and pests. Global change & human health , 2, 90-104.
Rowland, C.S., Morton, R.D., Carrasco, L., McShane, G., O’Neil, A.W. & Wood, C.M. (2017). Land Cover Map 2015 (25m raster, GB). NERC Environmental Information Data Centre.
Rusch, A., Bommarco, R., Jonsson, M., Smith, H.G. & Ekbom, B. (2013). Flow and stability of natural pest control services depend on complexity and crop rotation at the landscape scale. Journal of Applied Ecology , 50, 345-354.
Skinner, J.A., Lewis, K.A., Bardon, K.S., Tucker, P., Catt, J.A. & Chambers, B.J. (1997). An Overview of the Environmental Impact of Agriculture in the U.K. J. Environ. Manage. , 50, 111-128.
Spink, J., Semere, T., Sparkes, D., Whaley, J., Foulkes, M., Clare, R. et al. (2000). Effect of sowing date on the optimum plant density of winter wheat. Annals of Applied Biology , 137, 179-188.
Standish, R.J., Hobbs, R.J., Mayfield, M.M., Bestelmeyer, B.T., Suding, K.N., Battaglia, L.L.et al. (2014). Resilience in ecology: Abstraction, distraction, or where the action is? Biological Conservation , 177, 43-51.
Sylvester-Bradley, R., Berry, P., Blake, J., Jindred, D., Spink, J., Bingham, I. et al. (2015).Wheat growth guide . AHDB Cereals & Oilseeds, Stoneleigh Park, Warwickshire.
Sylvester-Bradley, R. & Kindred, D. (2014). The Yield Enhancement Network: Philosophy and results from the first season. Aspects of Applied Biology , 125, 53-62.
Thies, C., Haenke, S., Scherber, C., Bengtsson, J., Bommarco, R., Clement, L.W. et al. (2011). The relationship between agricultural intensification and biological control: experimental tests across Europe. Ecological Applications , 21, 2187-2196.
Tilman, D., Cassman, K.G., Matson, P.A., Naylor, R. & Polasky, S. (2002). Agricultural sustainability and intensive production practices. Nature , 418, 671-677.
Trnka, M., Rötter, R.P., Ruiz-Ramos, M., Kersebaum, K.C., Olesen, J.E., Žalud, Z. et al. (2014). Adverse weather conditions for European wheat production will become more frequent with climate change. Nature Climate Change , 4, 637.
Tscharntke, T., Karp, D.S., Chaplin-Kramer, R., Batáry, P., DeClerck, F., Gratton, C. et al.(2016). When natural habitat fails to enhance biological pest control – Five hypotheses. Biological Conservation , 204, 449-458.
Tscharntke, T., Rand, T.A. & Bianchi, F.J. (2005). The landscape context of trophic interactions: insect spillover across the crop—noncrop interface. In: Annales Zoologici Fennici . JSTOR, pp. 421-432.
Tschumi, M., Albrecht, M., Bärtschi, C., Collatz, J., Entling, M.H. & Jacot, K. (2016a). Perennial, species-rich wildflower strips enhance pest control and crop yield.Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment , 220, 97-103.
Tschumi, M., Albrecht, M., Collatz, J., Dubsky, V., Entling, M.H., Najar‐Rodriguez, A.J. et al.(2016b). Tailored flower strips promote natural enemy biodiversity and pest control in potato crops. Journal of applied ecology , 53, 1169-1176.
Tsiafouli, M.A., Thébault, E., Sgardelis, S.P., de Ruiter, P.C., van der Putten, W.H., Birkhofer, K.et al. (2015). Intensive agriculture reduces soil biodiversity across Europe. Global Change Biology , 21, 973-985.
Woodcock, B.A., Bullock, J.M., McCracken, M., Chapman, R.E., Ball, S.L., Edwards, M.E. et al.(2016). Spill-over of pest control and pollination services into arable crops. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment , 231, 15-23.