The trend of COVID-19 outbreak outside Hubei Province in
Mainland China
The trend of COVID-19 outbreak outside Hubei Province in Mainland China
was quite different from that in Wuhan or Hubei due to timely
intervention measures. As of March 26, 2020, the numbers of cumulative
confirmed and death cases were 13,540 and 118 respectively outside
Hubei. The daily number of new confirmed case outside Hubei reached a
peak of 880 on February 3 and decreased over time. Recently, the daily
numbers of new confirmed cases are very low and mostly cases contracted
outside China. The overall death toll outside Hubei is much lower with a
CFR of 0.87% as of March 26, 2020. It is gratifying to see that daily
number of recovered cases is increasing rapidly both inside and outside
Hubei with the latest recover rate as 91.05% and 94.88% as of March
26, 2020, respectively. It is worth noting that there were up to 19
provinces reporting zero new infections, and almost all provinces with
new cases are imported cases as of March 26, 2020, especially in highly
prevalent provinces like Hunan which was no new infections over 27 days.