Conclusion
This resulted in a visual comparison of the fitted and observed
cumulative incidence in India, showing that the COVID-19 pandemic is
clearly at an exponential stage in India in terms of the number of
confirmed cases. We then discussed what is the reproduction number and
the results of the reproduction. In the end, our model was used to
evaluate the Coronavirus epidemic if there was no public health action
at all. Under this typical case, the peak of COVID-19 in India is
anticipated to cross about 15,881,175 infected people and around 714,652
deaths by early August 2020. Perhaps these worrying optimistic forecasts
emphasize the importance of stringent public health measures taken by
governments and the need for people to take such safety measures to
reduce the spread of the virus in India.