Figure 1.
Framework for investigating mosquito climate adaptive
potential. Several mechanisms may enable in situ population
persistence (evolutionary adaptations in mosquito physiology, phenotypic
plasticity, phenological shifts, and life history adjustments; top
panel). Investigating the potential for evolutionary climate adaptation
requires first identifying the climate factors and traits limiting
population persistence (middle panel), then comparing the rate of
projected climatic change to potential evolutionary rates (bottom
panel). Evolutionary rates can be estimated based on evolutionary
potential (strength of selection, and heritability and variation in the
trait of interest), population demographic characteristics (maximum
growth rate and generation time), and trait – environment relationships
(phenotypic plasticity and environmental sensitivity of selection). In
the strength of selection panel (top left), the dashed and solid lines
indicate the population before and after natural selection,
respectively. In the heritability panel (bottom left), P1 and F1 denote
the parental and offspring generations.