Figure 1 Steps involved in the identification of drivers and development of scenarios and pathways.

Factors that have the potential to influence the production, distribution and consumption of food from the sea over the next decade were identified by the co-authors and grouped into six overarching drivers based on their main characteristics (see Table S1): ecosystem change; ocean governance; influence of corporations; output and efficiency of seafood systems; consumer demand; and focus on nutrition. These six drivers and a summary of their main characteristics (Table 1) based on the literature and expert opinion of co-authors were used to inform the future scenarios and to describe how they might influence future seafood systems (see supplementary information for further detail on drivers and references).

Table 1. Drivers of seafood systems, summary of their key characteristics and implications for sustainability and food security (see supplementary information for more details and references).