Flu Season |
Cohort |
Model†, ‡ |
In-sample AICc
(∆) |
R2 |
MAE |
Relative
MAE |
2007-2008 |
PIPP |
Week-only |
183 (0) |
0.97 |
8.9 |
1.0
(Ref.) |
|
|
All-cause absence |
215 (32) |
0.44 |
158.6 |
17.8 |
|
|
ILI-specific absence |
185 (2) |
0.49 |
45.1 |
5.07 |
2012-2013 |
SMART |
Week-only |
161 (0) |
0.93 |
14.4 |
1.0
(Ref.) |
|
|
All-cause absence |
187 (26) |
0.98 |
11.2 |
0.78 |
|
|
ILI-specific absence |
174 (13) |
0.99 |
8.6 |
0.60 |
2015-2016 |
SMART2
|
Week-only |
204 (0) |
1.0 |
8.6 |
1.0 (Ref.) |
|
|
All-cause absence |
214 (10) |
0.82 |
5.0 |
0.59 |
|
|
ILI-specific absence |
206 (2) |
0.84 |
18.6 |
2.17 |
Pooled analysis |
PIPP, SMART, SMART2
|
Week-only |
664 (0) |
0.35 |
51.6 |
1.0 (Ref.) |
|
|
All-cause absence |
665 (1) |
0.30 |
52.4 |
1.02 |
|
|
ILI-specific absence |
667 (3) |
0.37 |
51.5 |
0.99 |