Parameter Value References
Roost recovery rate, \(\gamma_{R_{H}}\)and \(\gamma_{R_{B}}\) 1.71*10-4 and 1.61*10-4 [Delpietro et al., 2017]
Detection time in farm,\(\tau_{i}\) \(\sim\text{lognormal}\) (\(\mu\) = 3.14, \(\sigma\) = 1.24), shifted by 25 [Sartwell, 1966; Nishiura, 2007; Tojinbara et al., 2016]
Farm recovery rate, \(\gamma_{F}\)
16.44*10-3 (if roost control performed); 5.48 *10-3 (if roost control not performed)
Discussion with local experts
Roost-to-roost transmission rate, βRR 8.99*10-2 – 13.361; see Figure S5 in SI2 for posterior distribution Calibrated
Roost-to-farm transmission rate, βRF 154.37 – 693.801; see Figure S5 in SI2 for posterior distribution Calibrated