Results:
For the Mpox epidemic from 2023-05-31 to 2023-06-21 in Beijing, we
calculated the R e = 1.68 [95% HPD:1.12,
2.41], being considerably larger than the critical value of 1 (Figure
1), which is consistent with other studies on the early transmission of
Mpox in European countries [5]. We also calculate k = 2.57
[95% HPD: 0.54, 83.88] and the quantity of p80 (i.e., the
(smallest) fraction of individuals responsible for 80% of secondary
infections on average) as 0.25. These quantities do not indicate high
degree of transmission heterogeneity.