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Seasonal Freeze-Thaw Modelling for Short Duration and Midwinter Melt events in Mineral Soils
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  • Élise Devoie,
  • Aaron Berg,
  • Renato Pardo Lara,
  • William Quinton,
  • James Craig
Élise Devoie
University of Waterloo Faculty of Engineering
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Aaron Berg
University of Guelph
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Renato Pardo Lara
University of Guelph
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William Quinton
Wilfrid Laurier University
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James Craig
University of Waterloo
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Abstract

Over winter freeze-thaw events are notoriously difficult to represent in hydrologic models and have serious implications for the hydrologic function of intermittently freezing regions. With changing climate leading to higher variability in observed weather patterns, it is anticipated that mid-winter thaw events may become more numerous, especially in cold regions. Midwinter thaw events are often the cause of flooding due to the coupled impact of rain-on-snow, and limited soil infiltrability. A numerically efficient, semi-analytical coupled thermal and mass transport model is presented that is capable of representing the ice content of near-surface soil. This model allows for rapid and stable prediction of the ice content of frozen or partially frozen soil without having to solve a discrete form of the coupled partial differential equations. The model tracks pore ice formation and soil cold content in terms of enthalpy. It is tested against data collected in Southern Saskatchewan and is shown to reproduce field observations. This model is efficient enough to be incorporated as a module into existing regional hydrologic models and is expected to improve predictions of over-winter streamflow and flooding potential.

Peer review status:UNDER REVIEW

30 Apr 2021Submitted to Hydrological Processes
05 May 2021Assigned to Editor
05 May 2021Submission Checks Completed
05 May 2021Reviewer(s) Assigned