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Localization of neutral evolution: selection for mutational robustness and the maximal entropy random walk
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Matteo Smerlak
Max Planck Institute for Mathematics in the Sciences, Leipzig, Germany
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A significant fraction of new mutations confer no immediate selective advantage to their bearer. Far from being irrelevant to evolution, the accumulation of neutral variation can pave the way for the discovery of fitter phenotypes and their subsequent positive selection, thus linking robustness and evolvability at the molecular scale. Here I show that the interference of multiple neutral mutants in large populations puts sharp constraints on the navigability of neutral networks, in effect shutting off access to neutral ridges and inducing localization in dense cores within these networks. These results imply that neutral evolution may not allow for the continuous generation of new genetic variation, even when the it takes place on a neutral network that percolates through sequence space. I illustrate these counterintuitive effects by revisiting two classical examples: Maynard Smith's word-game model of protein evolution, and the structural network of a short RNA. Interestingly, the phenomenon of neutral interference connects evolutionary dynamics to a Markov process known in network science as the maximal-entropy random walk; its special properties imply that, when many neutral variants interfere in a population, evolution chooses mutational paths—not individual mutations—uniformly at random.