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Distribution of residual autocorrelations for multiplicative seasonal ARMA models with uncorrelated but non-independent error terms
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  • Y. Boubacar Maïnassara,
  • A. Ilmi Amir
Y. Boubacar Maïnassara
Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté, Laboratoire de mathématiques de Besançon, UMR CNRS 6623, 16 route de Gray, 25030 Besançon, France. E-mail: yacouba.boubacar_mainassara@univ-fcomte.fr
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A. Ilmi Amir
Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté, Laboratoire de mathématiques de Besançon, UMR CNRS 6623, 16 route de Gray, 25030 Besançon, France. E-mail: osmanilmi@hotmail.com

Abstract

In this paper we consider portmanteau tests for testing the adequacy of multiplicative seasonal autoregressive moving-average (SARMA) models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent. We relax the standard independence assumption on the error term in order to extend the range of application of the SARMA models. We study the asymptotic distributions of residual and normalized residual empirical autocovariances and autocorrelations under weak assumptions on the noise. We establish the asymptotic behaviour of the proposed statistics. A set of Monte Carlo experiments and an application to monthly mean total sunspot number are presented.