Andrew Orr

and 49 more

River systems originating from the Upper Indus Basin (UIB) are dominated by runoff from snow and glacier melt and summer monsoonal rainfall. These water resources are highly stressed as huge populations of people living in this region depend on them, including for agriculture, domestic use, and energy production. Projections suggest that the UIB region will be affected by considerable (yet poorly quantified) changes to the seasonality and composition of runoff in the future, which are likely to have considerable impacts on these supplies. Given how directly and indirectly communities and ecosystems are dependent on these resources and the growing pressure on them due to ever-increasing demands, the impacts of climate change pose considerable adaptation challenges. The strong linkages between hydroclimate, cryosphere, water resources, and human activities within the UIB suggest that a multi- and inter-disciplinary research approach integrating the social and natural/environmental sciences is critical for successful adaptation to ongoing and future hydrological and climate change. Here we use a horizon scanning technique to identify the Top 100 questions related to the most pressing knowledge gaps and research priorities in social and natural sciences on climate change and water in the UIB. These questions are on the margins of current thinking and investigation and are clustered into 14 themes, covering three overarching topics of ‘governance, policy, and sustainable solutions’, ‘socioeconomic processes and livelihoods’, and ‘integrated Earth System processes’. Raising awareness of these cutting-edge knowledge gaps and opportunities will hopefully encourage researchers, funding bodies, practitioners, and policy makers to address them.

Yu Zhu

and 7 more

The eastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (EQTP) is the source regions of the Yangtze, Lancang/Mekong, and Nujiang/Salween rivers. Their hydrologic dynamics are key to water resources in the downstream area. An analysis of the spatiotemporal variations in terrestrial water storage (TWS) in this region has practical significance for regional social prosperity and the stability of the ecological environment. In this paper, the monthly GRACE Level 2 Release 6 (RL06) products were employed to invert TWS changes from April 2002 to August 2016, and dominant factors contributing to the changes in TWS in subbasins and decreasing and increasing areas were analyzed systematically. We concluded that. (1) the TWS in EQTP showed a slight decreasing trend from 2002 to 2016 with the obvious spatial heterogeneity. The TWS trend ranged from -0.94~0.91 mm/m with a decreasing trend in the southwest and an increasing trend in the north. The pattern in TWS is approximately similar to the change in soil moisture (ΔSM). (2) the decrease in TWS may be attributed to the increase of evapotranspiration, which has approximately increased by 53%, and increase of glacial ablation and reduction of precipitation in EQTP. Moreover, the decrease in evapotranspiration can partly explain the increase in areas with TWS increase. However, we speculated that the lakes supplemented by glaciers are the main cause of the regional changes in TWS. Glacial ablation is the dominant factor in the region where a substantial decrease in TWS is observed (an approximately 69% contribution). (3) The decrease in TWS mainly occurs in summer and is mainly due to the increase in evaporation in summer because of warming, increase in wind speed and decrease in the relative humidity. (4) the mass balance of glaciers was estimated indirectly based on the GRACE results, but a further study is needed to determine the specific process.