Richard Stein

and 5 more

Conspiracy theories, omnipresent in traditional and modern societies [1], span demographic strata and political differences [2] and have fascinated people for ages [3]. While many conspiracy theories are harmless and may even be entertaining, the ones related to medical and public health topics can be particularly dangerous for the individual and collective well-being [3]. This second category includes misinformation and conspiracy theories related to COVID-19, which is likely one the most significant pandemics of our lifetime. Compounding the challenges that it opened for the economy, social and political sciences, and biomedical, translational, and clinical research, COVID-19 also propelled discussions about conspiracy theories and media health literacy to the forefront of public health in ways that were nearly impossible to predict.Situations of crisis, fear, and uncertainty increase the likelihood of conspiratorial thinking [4]. A key difference between COVID-19 and the 1918 flu pandemic, which is sometimes used as a reference, is that a highly interconnected world, to a great extent on social media, is setting the stage for distributing information and misinformation about COVID-19 [5]. In the short time since the beginning of the pandemic, the number of COVID-19-related conspiracy theories increased and propagated on social media. According to some metrics, online sensationalist and conspiratorial sites and articles generate more user engagement than more reputable sources such as the World Health Organization and the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention [6] or mainstream news media such as the BBC and New York Times [7].An important way in which misinformation related to COVID-19 differs from misinformation that impacts other health-related topics is its multi-layered nature, in the sense that it concomitantly targets multiple facets of the pandemic. These include misinformation and conspiracies casting doubt on the very existence of the virus, minimizing the value of long-proven preventive strategies, and questioning the safety, efficacy, and potential ulterior motives of a vaccine that is not even available yet, and not sure it will ever be. In the wake of COVID-19, an ocean of misinformation [8] that spans all these domains has accumulated faster than for many other health-related topics. As a result, mutually incompatible and contradictory conspiracy theories were sometimes being endorsed and circulated together [9]. Misinformation and disinformation during the pandemic contributed to the demonization of health care workers [10]. As patients avoided hospitals or had difficulties making appointments in the wake of the pandemic, they experienced delays in accessing healthcare for various medical conditions [11-14]. An increased mortality from acute heart disease was reported in several countries [15]. In this context, ambiguous messages about the pandemic endanger the delivery of healthcare in virtually all clinical areas and can place patients at a heightened risk of complications.Some conspiratorial claims include assertions that COVID-19 is a hoax, arguments that the virus was created artificially [16, 17] and spread on purpose [18] as a bioweapon [19], or allegations that governments are using the emergency situation to pursue their anti-democratic goals [20]. As early as in January 2020, social media stories contained claims that 5G technologies either caused or accelerated the spread of the pandemic [21, 22]. Other conspiracies argued that people in power are taking advantage of the pandemic as a plan to inject microchip quantum-dot spy software and monitor people [8]. Videos or articles perpetuating these theories were viewed by millions of people on social media platforms. Another conspiracy theory, circulating in several languages, claimed that the swab test reaches the back of the nasopharynx and damages the blood brain barrier, and urged people to refuse testing [23, 24]. Yet another conspiracy theory, spread thousands of times on social media, claimed that testing itself infects people with the coronavirus and urged them to refuse testing [23].The use of face masks has become a passionately debated topic [25, 26], even though many studies support their benefit against SARS-CoV, SARS-CoV-2, MERS-CoV, [27, 28], flu, and seasonal coronaviruses [29]. Some people wearing masks have faced alienation or discrimination [30]. Claims on social media that the virus crosses the masks, and therefore the mask is useless, have been circulating together with claims that the virus persists on the surface of the mask and wearing a mask would, therefore, infect people, or that the mask could “activate the virus” [31]. Other social media claims include warnings that masks may cause fungal or bacterial pneumonia [32] or oxygen deprivation and carbon dioxide poisoning [33], an especially worrisome complication for children and pregnant women, despite evidence that no differences exist in heart rate and oxygen saturation between pregnant and non-pregnant women wearing N95 respirators for a short period of time [34].Most recently, warnings on social media advised people of the dangers of having their temperature checked upon entering closed spaces, based on the false claim that infrared light damages their pineal gland, when in reality infrared thermometers detect radiation emitted by the body [35, 36]. Other pseudoscientific claims advanced unproven therapies, including homeopathic arsenic-based products or colloidal silver solutions [22], advocated for prophylactic vitamin megadoses [37], promoted vitamin C and garlic as miracle remedies [38], and recommended ginger, hot pepper, and lemon to limit the impact of the pandemic [39].A vaccine is highly anticipated but not yet available, and it is uncertain which of the several vaccines that are currently pursued will succeed, if any. As of late July 2020, ~200 vaccine candidates were under active development and 15 were in human clinical trials [40]. Prior to the widespread use of social media and crowdsourcing to obtain medical information and advice, the spread of infectious disease outbreaks was usually limited to confined geographic locations; now, the availability of misinformation widens the footprint of its harm. Vaccine-related misinformation on social media is rampant. In late April 2020, a false story that circulated claimed that one of the first volunteers in the UK during a COVID-19 vaccine trial died from complications [41]. Another conspiracy theory claimed that the vaccine will be used to establish a global surveillance network [42]. Additionally, various social media posts are already providing advice on how to avoid the vaccine. A WebMD poll in late July 2020 found that if a COVID-19 vaccine was available, fewer than one-third of the respondents would take it in the first 90 days, and fewer than one-half of the people would take it in the first year [43].Each of these conspiracy theories may be destructive in itself. While it is challenging to demonstrate the direct influence of any given conspiracy theory on an individual’s behavior, there are some suggestive trends. In the wake of the misinformation linking 5G technologies to the pandemic, attacks were perpetrated against telecommunication masts on several continents, and engineers were subjected to verbal and physical abuse [44]. Between April 2-6, 2020, it was estimated that at least 20 phone masts were damaged in the UK. This included a hospital in Birmingham, UK, whose phone mast was set on fire [21]. There are previous examples to illustrate the heavy price of denial and misinformation in the wake of an infectious disease crisis. During the HIV/AIDS pandemic, claims that the virus does not exist or that it does not cause AIDS were incredibly harmful [38]. When the South African government, in its widely criticized denialist approach [45], withheld lifesaving drugs and promoted non-tested alternative solutions instead [46], the public health damage was incalculable and estimated to have claimed >330,000 lives [47-49].Anti-vaccination rhetoric and conspiracies are not new. They existed since Edward Jenner’s time, when some rumors claimed that vaccination will make people grow horns [50, 51]. The themes have been strikingly similar across time, and include distrust of the medical establishment or governments mandating vaccination; revulsion at the idea of introducing unknown substances into the body; accusations that the ingredients are harmful; or suspicion that the real motives behind vaccines are to make people sick or to control the population. Like many conspiracy theories, some worries over history have been rooted in a kernel of truth. Such examples include the Tuskegee Syphilis Study, where the government and the medical establishment have abused their power at the cost of people’s health [52-54]; the rare cases when contaminated vaccines caused harm [55-57]; or instances when vaccination was used as a cover for intelligence operations [58]. During the Zika virus epidemic, some of the conspiracy theories claimed that the disease was caused by vaccines, and an Australian anti-vaccination Facebook group emphasized that the vaccine used to prevent diphtheria, tetanus, and pertussis in pregnant women was introduced in Brazil only months before the Zika outbreak [59-61]. This makes it understandable, to a certain extent, why some people continue to view vaccines with suspicion.A paradox in the vaccination debate seems to be the fact that even though vaccines have well-known and widely-reported adverse effects [62-64], most conspiratorial discussions focus on false claims about adverse effects that were never linked to vaccines, while the actual adverse effects, that scientists and regulators are attempting to address and avoid, are rarely discussed, if ever. What makes the COVID-19 vaccine refusal so different is that the debates are directed against a vaccine that was not even manufactured yet. Amidst these multiple layers of misinformation and conspiratorial discourse, the potential for damage is unpredictable, poignant, and difficult to manage, and the challenges associated with bringing the pandemic under control adopt a new, amplified, and more acute perspective.On the bright side, overall, social media harbors a larger volume of accurate information than misinformation [65]. The sobering news is that misinformation seems to be more popular [65], become more prevalent over time [66], and spread faster, farther, and deeper [67, 68]—though whether this is true of health emergencies is less clear [69]. Several studies found that COVID-19 conspiracy beliefs negatively correlate with COVID-19 health-protective behaviors [70, 71], and individuals who support COVID-19 conspiracy theories are less likely to accept the advice of public health experts [72].Even though social media made it easier to disseminate misinformation, it is not clear to what extent it causes more people to believe in them. Surveys of public opinion around conspiratorial beliefs, particularly during an ongoing global event such as the current pandemic, should be interpreted with caution. The responses to such surveys depend on the questions asked. As noted, conspiracy theories often make a multitude of specific, sometimes mutually contradictory claims; COVID-19 conspiracy theories are no exception. As a result, it is difficult for a single survey to cover all variants of any given conspiracy theory. While research suggests that endorsement of one conspiracy theory predicts the endorsement of others, general conspiratorial ideation has been found to be relatively weakly predictive of general conspiracy claims about COVID-19, and even more weakly predictive of a plethora of specific claims [71]. Even more basic aspects of survey design such as the wording of available response options can have a substantial influence on responses [73]. The extent to which such surveys over- or underestimate true engagement with conspiracy theories is therefore unknown. It must also be noted that misinformation constitutes only a small fraction of people’s news consumption, and that news consumption itself is only a small fraction of people’s overall information diet [74]. The nuances of public opinion around conspiracy claims should receive increased attention in the years to come, as they have the potential to directly impact public health.Even though initial surveys indicate that many people would hesitate to adopt a coronavirus vaccine, it is important not to over-extrapolate, as responses to hypothetical questions may reflect many unstated assumptions and variables. However, the link merits increased focus over the coming months and years. We also need to recognize that hesitancy does not necessarily suggest that someone is a conspiracy theorist, or that they won’t actually seek vaccination should it become a reality with demonstrated safety and efficacy. A lot remains to be understood about people’s attitudes towards vaccines, and we should support this topic to further develop in the years to come.As we are exploring the best way forward during the COVID-19 pandemic, an ongoing challenge and a critical task will be to understand how to limit the rapid spread of misinformation, for which the term “infodemic” was coined to reflect its amplitude and extent [75-77]. Prompt, effective, and targeted interventions that seek to delegitimize misinformation emerge as an important strategy to reduce its impact. It was suggested that social media users should take advantage of the mechanisms available to report misinformation on the respective platforms [21]. More extensive efforts need to be dedicated to advance and promote media and social media literacy, and to interrogate the impact of misinformation, disinformation, and conspiratorial thinking on the different facets of this pandemic and of other public health emergencies. For sure, the road ahead will be long and tortuous.

Richard Stein

and 1 more

In To Have or to Be? , psychoanalyst Erich Fromm writes about pursuit after domination of nature, material abundance, and unlimited happiness, which made modern society become more interested inhaving than in being . Income, in his view, should not be as accentuated as to create different experiences of life for different groups [1]. Of the concepts that Fromm presents, the domination of nature, which facilitates zoonotic spillover events by increasing the overlap between the habitat of various species with that of humans [2-5], and the gap between the rich and the poor, which recently has become the widest in years [6], become particularly relevant in context of the COVID-19 pandemic.Even though susceptibility to COVID-19 does not know socioeconomic boundaries, a critical and worrisome finding is emerging from preliminary data and may re-shape infectious disease outbreak management strategies for the future. An early analysis of COVID-19 data from several jurisdictions in the United States found that counties with a majority of African American residents had three-times higher infection rates and six-times higher mortality rates than counties with a majority of Caucasian residents [7]. Another analysis, of March 2020 COVID-19 hospitalization data from 14 states in the United States, found more African American individuals among hospitalized patients whose race or ethnicity was recorded [8]. These and other findings reveal a disproportionately higher risk of serious or fatal COVID-19 in minorities. What makes these observations remarkable is that hypertension, diabetes, and obesity, which are risk factors for more severe or fatal COVID-19 [9-13], are exactly the chronic conditions that have long been recognized as disproportionately affecting racial/ethnic minorities and socioeconomically disfavored individuals and groups [14].Obesity affects minorities and low-socioeconomic-status groups disproportionately at all ages [15], a finding that was reported in several countries [16-19]. Some of the risk factors that account for disparities in obesity include low socioeconomic status [20], food insecurity, restricted access to healthy diet and recreational facilities [21-24], residence in areas with fast food restaurants [25], a high neighborhood density of small grocery stores [26], distance to a store [27], exposure to obesogenic environments [28, 29], shift work [30] and irregular sleep patterns [31-33].Obesity increases the risk for other chronic diseases [12], including diabetes and hypertension [34]. African American adults in the United States have among the highest rates of hypertension worldwide [35]. Several factors were implicated in disparities in hypertension, including socioeconomic status [36], differences in awareness [37], residence in a food desert [38], chronic stress [39, 40], fewer healthcare resources [41], and income [42]. Disparities for diabetes were described in minority populations in terms of increased prevalence [43, 44], worse management and control [45, 46], and higher rates of complications [45, 47]. Over the past three decades the socioeconomic disparities for type 2 diabetes have widened [48].Racial, ethnic and socioeconomic disparities also shape inequities in the access to mental health care [49-52]. This is very relevant for COVID-19, in context of the quarantine that was implemented in many countries in various forms, including school closures, allowing non-essential personnel to work from home, closure of mass transit systems, cancellation of public events, and restrictions on the assembly of groups of people [53-55]. Social isolation negatively impacts mental health and, with > 70% of the young people and adults not receiving adequate mental health treatment from health care personnel worldwide [56], the implications in the wake of COVID-19 are extensive and far-reaching. The 2002-2003 SARS pandemic revealed that a substantial proportion of the quarantined individuals may display PTSD and depression symptoms, with longer duration of the quarantine being associated with more severe PTSD [57]. During the same pandemic, hospital employees from Beijing who were quarantined had higher PTSD levels than those who were not, even three years later [58]. Among individuals from South Korea isolated for two weeks during the 2015 MERS outbreak, anxiety and anger were still present 4-6 months after the quarantine [59].The disproportionately higher suffering of socio-economically disadvantaged individuals at a moment of crisis is, unfortunately, nothing new. In the 14th century, in the Black Death pandemic, the poorest populations were also the most extensively impacted ones in terms of mortality [60, 61], and low-income individuals had a considerably worse outcome after the 1918 flu pandemic [62]. The disproportionate effect on socio-economically disadvantaged individuals was also apparent in the wake of natural disasters, such as Hurricane Katrina [63] or the Deepwater Horizon oil spill [64]. One aspect that makes COVID-19 different is that several segments of the population become more vulnerable not simply due to socioeconomic disparities, but as a result of chronic medical conditions that these disparities have at least partly fueled over decades. The partial overlap between the risk factors for these two groups of diseases is reminiscent of debates on whether the broad classification of diseases into non-communicable and communicable ones is a meaningful one, considering that the two groups often overlap and interact markedly with one another [65-67]. Another aspect that sets COVID-19 aside from other pandemics in recent history is the extent and the duration of the quarantine and the resulting increase in unemployment rates [68, 69], which only promise to prolong and exacerbate the extent of social inequities and the burden of chronic diseases.COVID-19 provides a steep and perplexing learning curve that underscores the imperative need to envision infectious diseases not simply from a biomedical perspective, but as part of a complex framework that incorporates ethnic, socioeconomic, and political dimensions. Racial/ethnic and socioeconomic disparities are conducive to the development of chronic medical conditions that could increase the risk of severe COVID-19, widening the disparities and accentuating the chronic disease burden and, as a result, further marginalizing already vulnerable individuals and groups. The implications of this positive feedback loop for individuals, groups, and society, extend beyond COVID-19 and beyond infectious diseases in general. The current pandemic eloquently demonstrates, albeit at a high cost, that societies function on the basis of a social contract, as described by Jean-Jacques Rousseau and, undoubtedly, offers an important moment to reflect on the profound, far-reaching, and multi-layered consequences of disparities in society.References1. Fromm E. To Have or to be. Continuum: New York 1977;