Shirin Taheri

and 2 more

Climate change affects biodiversity in diverse ways, necessitating the exploration of multiple climate dimensions using standardized metrics. However, existing methods for quantifying these metrics are scattered and tools for comparing alternative climate change metrics on the same footing are lacking. To address this gap, we developed “climetrics” which is an extensible and reproducible R package to spatially quantify and explore multiple dimensions of climate change through a unified procedure. Six widely used climate change metrics are currently implemented, including 1) Standardized Local Anomalies; 2) Changes in Probabilities of Local Climate Extremes; 3) Changes in Areas of Analogous Climates; 4) Novel Climates; 5) Changes in Distances to Analogous Climates; and 6) Climate Change Velocity. For climate change velocity, three different algorithms are implemented and available within the package including; a) Distanced-based Velocity (“dVe”); b) Threshold-based Velocity (“ve”); and c) Gradient-based Velocity (“gVe”). The package also provides additional tools to calculate the monthly mean of climate variables over multiple years, to quantify and map the temporal trend (slope) of a given climate variable at the pixel level, and to classify and map Köppen-Geiger (KG) climate zones. The climetrics R package is seamlessly integrated with the rts package for efficient handling of raster time-series data. The functions in climetrics are designed to be user-friendly, making them suitable for less-experienced R users. Detailed comments and descriptions in their help pages and vignettes of the package facilitate further customization by advanced users. In summary, the climetrics R package offers a unified framework for quantifying various climate change metrics, making it a useful tool for characterizing multiple dimensions of climate change and exploring their spatiotemporal patterns.
This study aims at examining the applicability of a novel approach based on species distribution models (SDMs) to establish spatial predictions of EBVs for birds based on bird diversity metrics such as the distributions of properties of key bird habitats. A major objective of this study is to build bird SDMs which can be used to derive spatial EBVs for bird species at a regional scale. We used as predictors 16 environmental variables that are known to be ecologically meaningful for birds at 100 m spatial resolution, including two bioclimatic variables (Bio17 = precipitation of driest quarter and Bio7 = temperature annual range) for three periods of ‘current’, ‘future 2050’, and ‘future 2070’, eleven land-cover (land use) predictors, the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and two topographic variables (slope and topography). We used multiple modeling techniques to build presence-only SDMs relating bird presence to environmental features of each species. Here, we show that the suitability estimated according to the SDMs can be used as a spatial ‘species distribution’ EBV (SD EBV) and reflect the habitat quality and trends in land use and climatic impacts on populations of bird species. These developments could facilitate monitoring of bird species across space and time, ultimately helping to identify priority conservation areas, estimate habitat suitability and provide early warning signs regarding bird distribution trends. In general, bioclimatic variables, topography and forest structure were identified to have important ties to the species probability maps generated on the basis of the SDMs, signifying a dominant role of bioclimatic variable Bio17 in the development of habitat suitability patterns. Keywords: Essential biodiversity variables, species distribution modelling, species distribution essential biodiversity variables (SDEBV), bird species, Swiss Alps